Blacks represent about 13% of the population and 26% of the people killed by police. Black Lives Matter, the press, politicians frequently repeat this as evidence of systemic bias against blacks.  This is a lie repeated.

A lie repeated

According to the study, Officer characteristics and racial disparities in fatal officer-involved shootings, (https://www.pnas.org/content/116/32/15877)

We find no evidence of anti-Black or anti-Hispanic disparities across shootings…

Instead, race-specific crime strongly predicts civilian race.

The study is well documented and verified and published in The Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), the official journal of the National Academy of Sciences (NAS).

The study is a long, complex, scientific analysis and I encourage reading in its entirety.  However, the following example, uses round numbers to illustrate the study’s general concept.

Pretend there is a mythical country with a population of 100,000,000 people and that blacks represent about 13% of the population or 13,000,000 people.

Now let’s say there are 1,000 people involved in violent crime incidents.  100 of those are killed by police of which 26 are black whereas based on percentage of population, it should have only been 13.

13 is 0.0001% of 13 million people.

 0.0001% isn’t evidence of racial bias.  It isn’t evidence of anything!

If you wanted to do an analysis of people who have drowned swimming, you would not include people who have never been swimming in their lives.  If you did, the ridiculously obvious conclusion would be that people who never go swimming don’t drown while swimming.

The only valid base for analyzing drowning while swimming is the number of people who go swimming. 

The only valid base for analyzing people killed while involved in violent crime situations is the number of people involved in violent crime.

However, 75% of people in the U.S. have no contact with police and most others have no contact other than traffic.

According to the PNAS study, when bench marking people who have been involved in incidents of violent crime instead of total population, anti-Black disparities in Fatal Officer Involved Shootings (FOIS) disappear or even reverse. 

There may be evidence of systemic racism, but this is not it.